Summary
- VanEck said it has presented a long-term outlook that Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $2.9 million by 2050.
- VanEck said it estimates that if Bitcoin posts an average annual return of about 15% over the next 25 years, it could handle 5–10% of global trade settlements and about 2.5% of central bank reserve assets.
- VanEck said that as global currency values decline and institutional adoption expands, Bitcoin will establish itself as a digital store of value, and the opportunity cost of not holding Bitcoin could enter a phase where it exceeds volatility risk.
Global asset manager VanEck has laid out a long-term outlook suggesting Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $2.9 million by 2050.
According to Crypto Briefing, a media outlet specializing in virtual assets (cryptocurrencies), VanEck said in a recent report, "Assuming Bitcoin delivers an average annual return of roughly 15% over the next 25 years, by 2050 it could account for 5–10% of global trade settlements and around 2.5% of central bank reserve assets."
VanEck stressed that the long-term drivers of Bitcoin’s value appreciation are not short-term speculative demand, but rather the erosion of global currency values and broader institutional adoption. The report explained that, "As structural weakness in fiat currencies persists and Bitcoin establishes itself as a digital store of value, its share within mainstream finance will gradually expand."
VanEck added, "We are now entering a phase where the opportunity cost of not holding Bitcoin could become greater than the volatility risk one must bear by holding it."



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