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Bitcoin slips below $66,000 as Iran attack escalation sends U.S. futures tumbling, oil up 7%

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Minseung Kang

Summary

  • Reports said Bitcoin slipped below $66,000 as Iran’s expanded attacks on U.S. assets drove up short-term volatility.
  • Amid rising Middle East tensions, oil surged more than 7%, highlighting concerns about inflation and a pullback in expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
  • Markets pointed to oil, real yields, the dollar index, and the U.S.-Iran conflict as key variables for the outlook for crypto assets, with elevated volatility likely to persist.

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Photo = Shutterstock
Photo = Shutterstock

Bitcoin (BTC) and U.S. equity index futures fell in tandem after reports that Iran’s attacks on U.S. assets in the Middle East had expanded. International oil prices surged more than 7%, bringing the geopolitical risk premium back into focus.

According to CoinDesk, a U.S. crypto-focused media outlet, Bitcoin neared $67,000 in early Asian trading before giving up its gains and sliding below $66,000. As the intraday drop from the session high widened, short-term volatility appeared to increase.

U.S. stock index futures also turned lower. S&P 500 E-mini futures rebounded to 6,857 early in the session but later slid to around 6,790, down 1.4% on the day. With risk-off sentiment spreading, both equities and crypto came under pressure.

According to foreign media reports, Iran is said to have intensified missile attacks on U.S. assets in Bahrain, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Some have also claimed that Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure was hit. Saudi Arabia is one of the world’s largest oil producers, and if related facilities suffer actual damage, concerns over supply disruptions could grow.

Oil extended gains of more than 7% across markets on both sides of the Atlantic. Both Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude jumped sharply, reflecting in the market the possibility of a renewed inflation impulse. Higher oil prices can push up consumer inflation through gasoline and transportation costs, which in turn could weigh on expectations for interest-rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).

Markets see it as a key variable whether the Middle East conflict remains a short-term event or spreads into a structural risk. Some analysts also say that if oil rises further and approaches $90 a barrel, inflation expectations, real yields and a stronger dollar could emerge simultaneously, increasing pressure on crypto assets.

Still, some traders are focusing on the fact that Bitcoin’s decline has been relatively limited compared with traditional financial markets. Holding in the mid-$60,000 range despite the geopolitical shock could leave room for it to be interpreted as a near-term support level.

Meanwhile, experts say the direction going forward will depend on the oil-price trajectory, real yields, the dollar index, and whether the U.S.-Iran conflict expands. They expect elevated volatility linked to macro factors to persist until geopolitical uncertainty eases.

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Minseung Kang

minriver@bloomingbit.ioBlockchain journalist | Writer of Trade Now & Altcoin Now, must-read content for investors.
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