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"A U.S.-Iran war could be a tailwind for equities"

Source
Korea Economic Daily

Summary

  • Steve Eisman said that in relation to a U.S.-Iran war, investors do not need to overreact to short-term shocks.
  • Eisman said he will not change his investment strategy despite the conflict and that it could be very positive for the market in the long run.
  • Analysis suggests that historically, after major geopolitical events, the S&P 500 and stock prices have tended to recover in the short term.

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Eisman: "Won’t change my investment strategy"

Photo = Shutterstock
Photo = Shutterstock

Steve Eisman, the investor best known for the film 'The Big Short,' said in connection with a potential U.S.-Iran war that investors need not overreact to short-term shocks and that it could be positive for markets over the longer term.

On the 2nd (local time), when asked on CNBC whether he would change his investment strategy because of the conflict, Eisman said, "I won’t change a single trade." He added, "I think it’s very positive in the long run," noting that "people are reacting to the current situation and oil prices have clearly risen, but if things unfold smoothly, two months from now asset prices will return to their prior levels."

While New York stocks saw significant volatility that day, some analysis also suggested that historically, geopolitical clashes have had little long-term impact on the stock market. According to Barclays’ trading desk, since 1980 the S&P 500 has, on average, shown virtually no change the day after major geopolitical events. Other studies have likewise found a tendency for stock prices to recover within a month after the outbreak of a global conflict.

New York = Park Shin-young, correspondent nyusos@hankyung.com

Korea Economic Daily

Korea Economic Daily

hankyung@bloomingbit.ioThe Korea Economic Daily Global is a digital media where latest news on Korean companies, industries, and financial markets.
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