PiCK
$18.6 Billion in Bitcoin Options Near Expiry…“Whether It Reclaims $75,000 Is the Key Inflection Point”
Summary
- About $18.6 billion in Bitcoin options is set to expire on Friday, and whether it can break above $75,000 was cited as the key inflection point.
- Bitcoin has been trading in a $67,700–$71,600 range, and if it fails to rise from here, a structure that favors put options would form.
- Deribit accounts for about $14.1 billion, or 76%, of the options market, while inflation concerns and Middle East geopolitical risks were cited as additional headwinds.
Forecast Trend Report by Period



As a large tranche of Bitcoin options heads toward expiry, attention is growing over where the market is headed.
According to Cointelegraph on the 26th (local time), about $18.6 billion worth of Bitcoin options will expire this Friday.
In the current options market, call options stand at about $11.2 billion and put options at about $7.4 billion, with calls accounting for a larger share. However, if the price fails to clear $71,000, more than 90% of all call options could end up expiring worthless.
Bitcoin has recently remained range-bound between $67,700 and $71,600. The market is watching whether it can break above $75,000 as a key turning point.
In particular, it would require roughly a 6% rise from current levels, and if that is not achieved, the setup becomes relatively favorable for put options.
By exchange, Deribit accounts for 76% of the overall options market with about $14.1 billion in open interest, followed by OKX and CME.
By price range, puts are expected to lead by about $1.8 billion in the $65,000–$69,000 band, and by about $950 million in the $69,001–$72,000 band.
By contrast, if the market moves into the $75,001–$78,000 range, calls would take the lead by about $790 million.
Analysts also say macro factors such as inflation concerns and geopolitical risks in the Middle East are adding to the market’s burden.

YM Lee
20min@bloomingbit.ioCrypto Chatterbox_ tlg@Bloomingbit_YMLEE





