Summary
- Polymarket said the odds that US inflation will exceed 4%% in 2026 had risen to 97%%.
- That marked a 63-percentage-point surge from earlier levels, underscoring growing inflation concerns.
- The market said tariff policies, expanded fiscal spending, and energy price instability are stoking medium- to long-term inflation pressure.
Forecast Trend Report by Period
Inflation concerns about the US economy next year are rising sharply on prediction market platform Polymarket.
As of May 18, the odds of US inflation exceeding 4% in 2026 had climbed to 97% on Polymarket. That marks a jump of 63 percentage points from earlier levels.
The market points to recent US tariff policies, expanded fiscal spending and unstable energy prices as drivers of medium- to long-term inflation pressure. Escalating tensions between the US and Iran, and the resulting volatility in global oil prices, are also fueling concerns about a renewed rise in prices.
Minseung Kang
minriver@bloomingbit.ioBlockchain journalist | Writer of Trade Now & Altcoin Now, must-read content for investors.
