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Coinbase Premium Hits One-Month Low, Signaling Stronger U.S. Institutional Selling

Source
Minseung Kang

Summary

  • The Coinbase premium fell to its lowest level this month, signaling stronger U.S. institutional selling pressure.
  • U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of $1.3 billion over four trading sessions, extending a broader pullback in risk-asset exposure.
  • Open interest in Bitcoin futures and perpetual contracts fell by about $1.5 billion, while Bitcoin dropped about 4.5%% over the past week, adding pressure to short-term price momentum.

Forecast Trend Report by Period

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Photo: Shutterstock
Photo: Shutterstock

The Coinbase premium, a closely watched gauge of U.S. institutional crypto flows, fell to its lowest level this month. Market participants say the move points to heavier profit-taking and hedging by institutional investors.

Cointelegraph reported on May 22 that the Coinbase premium stood at -0.0983% as of May 21, the lowest reading this month.

The Coinbase premium measures the Bitcoin price gap between Coinbase, where U.S. institutional investors make up a relatively large share of trading, and Binance, which is used more heavily by retail investors. When the premium deepens into negative territory, it is generally interpreted as a sign that selling pressure on Coinbase is stronger.

Darkfost, an analyst at CryptoQuant, said institutional selling pressure has strengthened recently. In practice, that means institutional and professional investors trading on Coinbase Advanced have been selling more aggressively than investors on Binance.

The market is also interpreting recent macroeconomic uncertainty as a driver of reduced institutional exposure to risk assets. Darkfost added that institutions appear to be leaning on hedging strategies until a clearer direction emerges.

Nick Ruck, research director at LVRG Research, said the trend could also signal net selling pressure from large investors. Profit-taking or position rebalancing by institutions could weigh on short-term price momentum, he added.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs have continued to see outflows. Coinglass data show U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs posted total net outflows of $1.3 billion over four trading sessions since May 14.

Froth in the derivatives market also appears to be easing. Bitfinex said open interest in Bitcoin futures and perpetual contracts fell by about $1.5 billion this week. That suggests much of the leverage built up during Bitcoin's rebound toward $82,000 has been flushed out.

Bitcoin has dropped about 4.5% over the past week. On May 20, it fell to the low-$76,000 range, marking a monthly low.

Minseung Kang

Minseung Kang

minriver@bloomingbit.ioBlockchain journalist | Writer of Trade Now & Altcoin Now, must-read content for investors.
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