Democrats Lead Republicans by 8 Points With Fewer Than 100 Days Until US Midterms, Poll Shows
Summary
- CNN reported that Democrats at 48% and Republicans at 40% left Democrats ahead by more than the margin of error in the poll.
- If Democrats retake the House in the midterm elections, President Donald Trump could face significant difficulty governing.
- Seventy percent of Democratic-leaning voters said their vote was meant to express opposition to President Trump, while Trump's positive rating among Republican supporters fell to 56%.
Forecast Trend Report by Period
Democrats hold an 8-percentage-point lead over Republicans with fewer than 100 days left before the US midterm elections in November, according to a poll that put the opposition party ahead by more than the margin of error.
CNN reported on July 30 that its poll conducted with SSRS found 48% support for Democrats and 40% for Republicans.
Among voters who said they would definitely cast a ballot, Democrats' lead widened to 20 percentage points.
Democrats also led by 10 percentage points on which party is seen as representing change. Republicans had led by 7 percentage points on that measure in the spring of last year, but Democrats have since overtaken them.
The results appear to reflect voter dissatisfaction with Congress. More than half of respondents said Congress would benefit if most incumbent lawmakers were replaced in this election. CNN said that was higher than the reading seen just before the 2006 midterms, when Democrats retook the House.
If Democrats reclaim the House in this year's midterm elections, President Donald Trump could face significant difficulty governing.
Seventy percent of Democratic-leaning voters said their vote in this election was intended to express opposition to Trump.
By contrast, only 41% of Republican-leaning voters said their vote was meant to show support for him.
Trump's influence within the Republican Party also appeared to have weakened. Among Republican supporters, 56% said Trump had a positive effect on the party, down 11 percentage points from 67% at the start of the year.
The poll also showed a sharp partisan divide over support for Israel.
Most Democratic-leaning respondents said they could accept a nominee who supports reducing aid to Israel, while Republican-leaning respondents were more resistant.
The survey was conducted over five days from July 23 among 1,225 US adults. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
Go Jeong-sam, Hankyung.com reporter, jsk@hankyung.com
Korea Economic Daily
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