Summary
- Reuters reported that talks to resume commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have made considerable progress and that a deal could be reached soon.
- It said Iran's interference with transit through the waterway has sent global energy prices surging and intensified inflation pressures.
- It also said peace talks are gaining momentum on the Lebanese front between Israel and Hezbollah under US mediation, while shifts inside Iran are raising expectations for a diplomatic resolution.
Forecast Trend Report by Period



Talks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil shipping lane closed during the war between the US and Iran, are close to an agreement, Reuters reported.
Reuters, citing a US government official on August 7, reported that negotiations to resume commercial shipping through the strait have made considerable progress under Omani mediation and that a deal could be reached soon. The US plans to lift its maritime blockade of Iranian ports once normal transit is confirmed.
Iran has obstructed passage through the strait by charging fees to tankers seeking to pass or firing on them. The disruptions have sent global energy prices surging and added to inflation pressures.
On the Lebanese front, peace talks also appear to be gaining momentum between Israel and Hezbollah, the Iran-backed militant group. Under US mediation, the sides are drawing up a list of countries that could deploy peacekeeping forces to monitor disarmament.
Shifts inside Iran are also fueling hopes for a diplomatic resolution. In a recent interview with state television, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said there would be no reason to avoid talks if Iran could secure its rights through dialogue. He added that many senior military leaders also support negotiations to end the war.
Doohyun Hwang
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