PiCK
CAP Jumps 92% After Upbit Listing as Altcoin Stock-Picking Rally Persists
Summary
- The altcoin market remains a selective rally, with buying concentrated in tokens backed by specific catalysts such as listings, service updates, and token utility.
- Bitcoin’s defense of the $60,000 level could determine the crypto market’s next direction and whether risk appetite returns to altcoins.
- With institutional money and liquidity concentrating in a handful of major tokens, small- and mid-cap altcoins face a weaker buying base, leaving room for short-term rotation trades centered on specific on-chain ecosystems.
Forecast Trend Report by Period



The altcoin market remains highly selective, with buying concentrated in tokens backed by specific catalysts such as exchange listings and service updates. With no clear direction across the broader market, gains have struggled to spread beyond a narrow group of names.
Selective Altcoin Rally Continues as Listings, Service Updates Spur Sharp Gains
Of the top 300 cryptocurrencies by market value, a little more than 140 rose over the past week while a little more than 160 fell. Rather than moving in lockstep, the market has favored tokens with distinct catalysts such as listings and service updates.

APR posted the biggest gain over the past week, soaring 151%, according to CoinMarketCap data on Aug. 14. Other standout performers included VELVET, up 102%; CAP, up 92%; AKE, up 89.1%; BR, up 79.7%; and BTW, up 58.2%. ARC climbed 39.2%, CASHCAT gained 38.3%, and CYS advanced 33.7%.
Newly listed Upbit tokens also outperformed. CYS, a decentralized ComputeFi project, extended its rally after Upbit announced on Aug. 10 that it would support trading in BTC and USDT markets. CAP, an on-chain private credit project, rose 92% over the past week after trading began in KRW, BTC and USDT markets on Aug. 6.

Tokens supported by service developments and expanding token utility also gained. VELVET surged 102% over the past week. The token is part of the VelvetX ecosystem, which offers social trading features including copy trading. Curve DAO Token, or CRV, rose 14.9% after Curve Finance introduced CRV incentives for a new LlamaLend v2 gauge, boosting expectations for broader token use.
Among mid- and large-cap altcoins, PUMP rose 28.2%, ETHFI gained 17.8%, OKB advanced 16%, ATOM climbed 13.2%, WLD added 12%, and LINK increased 6.2%. Exchange and centralized-finance, or CeFi, tokens showed particular relative strength, with OKB leading the group. SoSoValue data showed the CeFi sector index rose 2.68% over the past seven days and 4.24% over the past month.
Sharp declines also hit parts of the market. BEAT plunged 67%, US dropped 64.3%, and KAITO sank 53.3% over the past week. KAITO also came under heavier selling pressure in derivatives markets as long liquidations increased and funding rates stayed in negative territory.
Broader Altcoin Upside Limited as Bitcoin’s Hold Above $60,000 Turns Critical
The broader digital-asset market remains trapped in a narrow range, leaving altcoins without a clear trend. Alex Kuptsikevich, an analyst at FxPro, said total crypto market capitalization has stayed near $2.19 trillion for a third straight day, extending the sideways pattern that has persisted since early June. Optimism around possible passage of the CLARITY Act, a digital-asset market structure bill, this fall is underpinning the medium-term outlook. The risk of a sharp pullback in the coming weeks, however, remains.
The prospect of further Bitcoin weakness is another key variable for altcoins. Benjamin Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse, said August and September are often weak months for Bitcoin in US midterm election years. Whether Bitcoin holds above $60,000 over the next 60 days or retests its prior lows could determine the market’s next phase. That also means Bitcoin’s ability to defend the $60,000 level may shape whether risk appetite returns to altcoins.
Institutional money is also concentrating in a limited group of highly liquid tokens. Wintermute said in its first-half over-the-counter trading report that institutions accounted for a record 72% of spot trading on its OTC desk. Notional altcoin options volume was about 3.4 times higher than in the second half of last year. At the same time, liquidity is concentrating in a handful of major tokens while the buying base for small- and mid-cap altcoins is weakening.

Even with broader market participation still limited, some on-chain ecosystems are fueling speculation about localized rotation trades. Crypto strategist Michaël van de Poppe said on-chain activity and trading demand on Robinhood Chain have been rising, citing gains in related tokens including CASHCAT, HMM, ANSEM and PONS. If the risk appetite seen on Robinhood Chain spreads to other blockchain ecosystems, rotation into smaller altcoins could broaden, he added.
Until Bitcoin establishes a clearer direction around the $60,000 level, the market is more likely to see short-term rotation into tokens with specific catalysts — including listings, service updates and rising on-chain activity within individual ecosystems — rather than a broad-based altcoin rally.
Kang Min-seung, Bloomingbit reporter minriver@bloomingbit.io
Minseung Kang
minriver@bloomingbit.ioBlockchain journalist | Writer of Trade Now & Altcoin Now, must-read content for investors.