Kalshi US Power Index Shows Democrats Ahead by 3.8 Points
JH Kim
Summary
- Prediction market Kalshi said its US Power Index (KPOW) showed Democrats holding a 3.8-point advantage.
- The US Power Index is calculated by combining the US distribution of political power with Kalshi market forecasts for House, Senate and presidential elections.
- The index is shown on a scale ranging from a maximum 50-point Democratic advantage to a maximum 50-point Republican advantage, and moves in real time with market price fluctuations.
Forecast Trend Report by Period
Kalshi’s real-time US Power Index, or KPOW, showed Democrats holding a 3.8-point advantage.
Cointelegraph, a cryptocurrency-focused media outlet, reported on Sept. 28 that the index was tilted 3.8 points toward Democrats.
The US Power Index is calculated by combining the current distribution of political power in the US with Kalshi market forecasts for House, Senate and presidential elections.
The index is shown on a scale ranging from a maximum 50-point Democratic advantage to a maximum 50-point Republican advantage. It moves in real time with changes in market prices.
JH Kim
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