Summary
- According to Polymarket, the probability of a 25bp rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve in September reached 71%.
- During the same period, the probability of holding rates steady was 26%, while the probability of a 50bp cut was 3%.
- This suggests that investors should pay attention to the possibility of a rate cut in September.
The probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates by 25bp in September has reached 75%.
According to the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket on the 19th (local time), the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25bp in September reached 71%. The probabilities for holding rates steady and a 50bp cut were 26% and 3%, respectively.
Son Min
sonmin@bloomingbit.ioHello I’m Son Min, a journalist at BloomingBit
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