Summary
- Polymarket and other prediction markets said the possibility of the U.S. government shutdown ending reached 95%.
- U.S. Senate passed the budget bill, indicating that the resumption of government operations is imminent.
- However, they said the issue of extending Obamacare subsidies still has not been resolved.
There are outlooks that the U.S. federal government's longest-ever shutdown (temporary work stoppage) is likely to be concluded this week.
On the 11th (local time), Polymarket's 'When will the shutdown end' betting showed a 95% probability of the government resuming between November 12 and 15. A similar trend continues on another decentralized prediction market, Kalshi.
The U.S. Senate passed a budget bill the previous day, with 60 votes in favor and 40 against, to resume government operations through January 30. However, no compromise was reached on extending 'Obamacare' (Affordable Care Act·ACA) subsidies.
Uk Jin
wook9629@bloomingbit.ioH3LLO, World! I am Uk Jin.
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