Ethereum sees limited price reaction despite record on-chain activity…reviving the ‘real demand’ debate

Source
Suehyeon Lee
공유하기

Summary

  • Ethereum (ETH) network on-chain activity and transactions hit record highs, but the price has remained sluggish, hovering around $3,180.
  • On-chain analysis found that about 80% of the recent increase in transactions was tied to stablecoins, and around 67% of newly active addresses matched address poisoning and dusting patterns, involving accounts receiving less than $1.
  • After the Fusaka upgrade lowered gas fees, large-scale spam transactions became economically viable, prompting assessments that the rise in transaction counts and new addresses is unrelated to any real increase in network demand.
Photo=Shutterstock
Photo=Shutterstock

On-chain activity on the Ethereum (ETH) network has surged to an all-time high, but the price has shown only limited movement, raising questions over whether the recent spike in transactions reflects genuine user demand.

According to CoinDesk on the 20th (local time), the Ethereum network processed about 2.9 million transactions per day last week, marking a new daily record. Average gas fees also stayed near recent lows, and the validator withdrawal exit queue was effectively depleted.

In past cycles, this mix would have been read as expanding demand, tighter block space and supply-side pressure, but Ethereum’s price has remained sluggish, fluctuating around $3,180.

On-chain analyst Andrey Sergeenkov suggested that the recent surge in Ethereum network activity may be an illusion driven not by increased real usage but by large-scale “address poisoning” attacks. Address poisoning involves attackers creating addresses that resemble real wallets and sending small amounts of stablecoins to many wallets, leaving fake addresses in transaction histories. If users copy and paste them when sending funds, the funds can end up in the attacker’s wallet.

His analysis found that about 80% of the recent increase in transactions was linked to stablecoins, and roughly 67% of newly active addresses were accounts that received less than $1 for the first time. Out of a sample of 5.78 million addresses, about 3.86 million fit this kind of “dusting” pattern. While this artificially inflates transaction counts and new address figures, it is seen as activity unrelated to actual user inflows or an expansion in network demand.

A shift in the fee environment is cited as a backdrop to the rise of such attacks. Since December last year, the Fusaka upgrade has significantly reduced transaction costs, making large-scale spam transactions—previously uneconomic on a cost-benefit basis—financially viable, the analysis said.

publisher img

Suehyeon Lee

shlee@bloomingbit.ioI'm reporter Suehyeon Lee, your Web3 Moderator.
What did you think of the article you just read?