Large XRP Transfer Detected… $1.81 Breakout Back in Focus

As XRP’s price searches for direction around a key support zone, a series of large transfers totaling 229 million tokens has been detected, drawing market attention. If the whale flows are interpreted as a sign of accumulation, a renewed break above $1.81 is being discussed; however, analysts say downside risk remains open if support breaks.

According to AMBcrypto on the 11th (local time), a total of 229 million XRP moved between anonymous wallets over two days, on the 10th and 11th. On the 10th, about 125 million XRP worth roughly $177 million was transferred, and on the 11th an additional about 104.8 million XRP worth around $147 million moved. Notably, the sender address in the second transaction is known as one of the top 60 XRP-holding wallets.

It has not been confirmed whether the tokens flowed into exchanges. If deposited to exchanges, it could translate into selling pressure, but if it was merely a cold-wallet reshuffle, strategic position adjustments or accumulation cannot be ruled out.

On-chain data is also focusing on the moves of large investors. According to CryptoQuant, even as XRP fell about 50% from last year’s peak, large orders were steadily maintained. In fact, orders clustered at lower price levels, with the average order size remaining elevated. This could be interpreted as an accumulation pattern in which whales absorb supply.

Technical signals are mixed. On the 6th, XRP formed a bullish MACD golden cross and then rebounded about 37%. The MACD is a widely used indicator that gauges trend shifts and momentum using the gap between moving averages; when the short-term line crosses above the long-term line, it is read as a bullish signal. After that, as it worked to complete a bull-flag pattern, a bearish MACD dead cross appeared on the 11th. This signals the short-term line crossing below the long-term line, suggesting the possibility of a near-term pullback.

The current pivot zone is $1.30–$1.32. If support holds in this area and price breaks higher, a further gain of about 37%—similar to the prior upswing—is mathematically possible, putting the target near $1.81. The RSI is close to oversold territory, leaving room for a short-term rebound.

Conversely, if the $1.30 level is decisively breached, the recent rebound is likely to be defined as a short-lived relief rally. In that case, the downside target range could open down to $1.10.