Circle shares plunge, wiping out $4.6bn in market cap… “Stablecoins are not collapsing, they are transitioning”

Source
JOON HYOUNG LEE

Summary

  • XWIN Research Japan said Circle (USDC) shares plunged 18%, erasing $4.6 billion in market cap, with the direct cause being revisions to the draft U.S. crypto market structure bill (the Clarity Act).
  • It analyzed that the regulation restricts stablecoin yield features, allowing only activity-based rewards instead of passive interest payments, thereby redefining stablecoins’ role and making it likely that capital will migrate to DeFi, tokenized U.S. Treasuries, and overseas markets.
  • XWIN Research Japan said the number of active stablecoin addresses hit an all-time high and that their role as infrastructure assets—including payments, settlement, collateral, and liquidity provision—is strengthening, meaning the current situation is a transition rather than a collapse.

Forecast Trend Report by Period

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Photo=Shutterstock
Photo=Shutterstock

Shares of Circle, the issuer of the dollar-pegged stablecoin USDC, plunged, erasing $4.6 billion in market capitalization. Analysts say, however, that stablecoin adoption will continue to accelerate.

A CryptoQuant contributor at XWIN Research Japan said via CryptoQuant on the 24th (local time) that “Circle shares fell about 18% today, wiping out $4.6 billion in market cap,” adding that “the direct trigger for the drop was news that the draft U.S. crypto market structure bill (the Clarity Act) was revised in a way that restricts stablecoins’ ‘yield-bearing’ features.”

XWIN Research Japan pointed out that “this issue is a signal that goes beyond a simple price decline and shows that the fundamental role of stablecoins is changing.” He said, “Stablecoins have functioned as digital dollars and as yield-generating assets,” and added, “This regulation redefines the role of stablecoins by limiting passive interest payments while allowing only activity-based rewards.”

Trend in the number of active stablecoin addresses. Photo=CryptoQuant
Trend in the number of active stablecoin addresses. Photo=CryptoQuant

He went on to stress that “the key is competition for capital.” XWIN Research Japan said, “Banks worry about deposit outflows, and crypto platforms have relied on yield incentives to keep liquidity,” analyzing that “regulation is not merely restricting products but reshaping the market structure itself.” It added, “What matters is that capital will not disappear—it will move,” and said, “Demand for yield is likely to migrate to DeFi, tokenized U.S. Treasuries, or overseas markets with lighter regulation.”

The analysis suggests the role of stablecoins is likely to become more important than before. XWIN Research Japan said, “If yield disappears, stablecoins will focus on their role as ‘infrastructure assets’—payments, settlement, collateral, and liquidity provision,” describing it as “a process of shifting (stablecoins) from financial products to market infrastructure.”

It also emphasized that “this transition is already visible on-chain.” XWIN Research Japan said, “The number of active stablecoin addresses has recently hit an all-time high, showing that real usage is increasing,” and analyzed that “if regulatory clarity is secured, this trend could accelerate further.” He said, “The rise in active addresses shows that capital isn’t sitting idle but is actually being used,” concluding that “ultimately, the current situation is not a collapse but a transition (for stablecoins).”

JOON HYOUNG LEE

JOON HYOUNG LEE

gilson@bloomingbit.ioCrypto Journalist based in Seoul
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