CME FedWatch Prices in 100% Odds of Fed Hold in April

Source
JH Kim

Summary

  • According to CME FedWatch, traders see a 100%% chance that the Fed will hold its benchmark rate unchanged at the April FOMC meeting.
  • That is interpreted as reflecting a recent slowdown in inflation and some easing in policy uncertainty.
  • For now, markets are placing more weight on whether the Fed will maintain its hold than on the timing of any rate cut, with upcoming inflation and employment data seen as the key variables.

Forecast Trend Report by Period

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Markets have fully priced in the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April, signaling expectations that the central bank will maintain its current policy stance.

CME FedWatch data on April 29 showed traders assigning a 100% probability to the Fed holding its benchmark rate steady at the April Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

That view reflects a recent easing in inflation and some reduction in policy uncertainty.

For now, markets are focused more on whether the Fed maintains its hold than on the timing of any rate cut.

Investors are also watching how incoming economic data could affect the Fed's policy path. Inflation and employment figures are seen as the key variables.

Photo: Shutterstock
Photo: Shutterstock
JH Kim

JH Kim

reporter1@bloomingbit.ioHi, I'm a Bloomingbit reporter, bringing you the latest cryptocurrency news.
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