Summary
- Bitcoin's average realized profit of 17%% has reached a warning level for short-term overheating.
- The average investor has entered a meaningful profit zone, raising the possibility of profit-taking pressure and selling.
- Bitcoin is testing its 200-day moving average as resistance, a level that previously preceded a downtrend after marking a short-term peak.
Forecast Trend Report by Period
Bitcoin investors' average realized profit has reached 17%, signaling potential short-term overheating, according to crypto analyst Ali Martinez.
On May 17, Martinez wrote that the average realized profit for Bitcoin traders had climbed to 17%. It marks the first time since October 2025 that the average investor has entered a meaningful profit zone.
That may fuel profit-taking pressure. With average investors sitting on solid gains, some holders could begin selling.
Martinez also highlighted that Bitcoin is testing its 200-day moving average as resistance.
He added that in March 2022, Bitcoin's average realized profit also reached 17% while the cryptocurrency was testing the 200-day moving average as resistance. At the time, that level marked a short-term peak before the downtrend resumed.
Suehyeon Lee
shlee@bloomingbit.ioI'm reporter Suehyeon Lee, your Web3 Moderator.
