Currently, Ethereum (ETH) is showing weak performance, but an analysis suggests that a surge could begin in April. On the 25th (local time), Nick Foster, founder of Derive (formerly Lyra), stated in an interview with Decrypt, "Currently, bearish indicators are predominant for Ethereum," but also noted, "April could be the starting point for a surge in Ethereum." He mentioned that the bearish indicators for Ethereum are precursors to a price surge. Foster said, "The implied volatility of Ethereum options is at a monthly low. The implied volatility for 7-day and 30-day options is at 59% and 45%, respectively," adding, "Historically, it is rare for implied volatility to remain at such low levels." He explained that the increase in implied volatility of Ethereum options could positively impact the rise in Ethereum prices. Additionally, he stated, "The forward rate for Ethereum (the expected interest rate at a specific future point) is lower than the U.S. Treasury yield (5%)," and "In the past, when forward rates were low, prices often surged within a few weeks." The lower the forward rate, the more attractive leverage positions become to investors, leading to rapid demand inflow and price surges. He continued, "The amount of Ethereum circulating on centralized exchanges (CEX) is at a 9-year low," adding, "If demand for Ethereum surges, it will act as a factor to further maximize price increases." Finally, he conveyed, "Considering the Ethereum Foundation's roadmap and the Pectra upgrade, institutions will also refocus on Ethereum in the second half of this year."
March 26PiCK