With the SEC's easing regulatory stance Higher possibility of altcoin ETF approval XRP and Solana are top priority "Altcoin ETFs need demand verification" Spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for altcoins (crypto assets other than Bitcoin) are effectively entering an approval phase. Attention is focused on whether the launch of spot altcoin ETFs could act as a catalyst for a crypto bull market. On the 2nd, industry sources said the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) instructed issuers that applied for spot altcoin ETFs at the end of last month to withdraw the previously submitted Form 19b-4 (official exchange rule change request). The Form 19b-4 is a document submitted to exchanges to introduce new financial products and is a key procedure for launching a spot crypto asset ETF. The SEC appears to have instructed the withdrawals to simplify ETF listing procedures. Earlier, the SEC announced on its official website in mid-last month that it had approved a Generic Listing Standard for Commodity-based Trust Shares. As a result, exchanges such as Nasdaq, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), and the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) can list and trade commodity-based trust securities that meet certain requirements on their own. Notably, index products that use digital assets as underlying assets were also included in the commodity-based trust securities. This is why there are expectations that approval of spot altcoin ETFs could accelerate. SEC Commissioner Paul Atkins said the move "maximizes investor choice and promotes market innovation" and that "the U.S. capital markets could become a central stage for digital assets." Kim Min-seung, head of the Korbit Research Center, analyzed, "Previously, when a Form 19b-4 was submitted, the SEC reviewed each one individually and most led to 'delays' or 'rejections.' From now on, if the requirements are met, the structure will allow automatic approval, which is a major positive for spot altcoin ETFs." Solana and XRP cited as leading candidates Solana (SOL) and XRP are cited as strong contenders for the next spot ETFs. Although not large in scale, exchange-traded products (ETPs) that use Solana and XRP as underlying assets are already traded in the U.S. According to ETFAction, the assets under management (AUM) of the Solana ETF and the XRP ETF currently trading are $230 million and $200 million, respectively. Shortly after the SEC simplified listing procedures, it also approved the Grayscale Digital Large Cap (GDLC) fund submitted by the New York Stock Exchange. That fund is a multi-crypto ETP tracking the prices of five tokens—Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), Solana, and XRP—and includes Solana and XRP. Eric Balchunas, a Bloomberg ETF analyst, said, "The likelihood of approval for a Solana spot ETF is effectively 100%," adding, "Now only the formal procedure remains for the SEC to approve the registration statement (S-1) submitted by asset managers." David Nadig, chairman of ETF.com, predicted, "ETF products tracking Solana and XRP will be launched within the next 60–90 days." "High chance of a Q4 rally" Despite such forecasts, price movements remain weak. Since the SEC's announcement of simplified listing requirements in mid-last month, the prices of major altcoins have rather fallen. According to CoinMarketCap, as of 5:30 PM that day, XRP's price was $2.95, up 2.77% from the previous day. While it showed gains that day, it is about 3% lower compared with the 17th of last month. Solana's price also fell about 6% over the same period. The market expects that prices will rebound once ETFs are launched, as institutional funds are likely to flow in with ETF launches. Matt Hogan, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Bitwise, said, "Altcoins like Solana could see institutional inflows on the back of ETF approval," adding, "(However) actual demand needs to be supported, and a bull market will follow after confirmed inflows similar to Bitcoin and Ethereum." Crypto analyst Noel Acheson also said, "There is a strong possibility that a crypto bull market will begin in Q4 this year," and "especially with new ETF launches expected, investor interest may shift from Bitcoin and Ethereum to smaller and mid-cap altcoins." Cautionary views were also raised. Jeffrey Ding, chief analyst at HashKey Group, said, "The launch of a Solana ETF could trigger short-term speculative buying, but profit-taking selling may follow immediately after approval." Jinwook, Bloomingbit reporter wook9629@bloomingbit.io
October 2PiCK