Fed: 78% Probability of 'Stopping' Rate Cuts in January Next Year

JH Kim

Summary

It reported that in the U.S. interest rate futures market the Fed's probability of stopping rate cuts in January 2026 has risen to 78%.
It reported that the probability rose from 70% before the FOMC meeting to 78% after the meeting.
Markets interpreted that the Fed is more likely to choose 'slowing the pace' or a 'temporary pause' rather than additional cuts early in the year.

In the U.S. interest rate futures market, the Federal Reserve (Fed) saw the probability of stopping rate cuts in January 2026 rise to 78%.

According to the economic breaking-news account Walter Bloomberg on the 10th (local time), that probability rose from about 70% before that day's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting to 78% after the meeting.

Markets interpret that, with the FOMC outcome and the Fed's future policy signals being reflected, there is more weight toward 'slowing the pace' or a 'temporary pause' rather than further cuts early in the year.