[Analysis] "Bitcoin’s decline today is highly unusual…hurting even automated trading"

Source
Uk Jin

Summary

  • It said Bitcoin (BTC)’s intraday plunge amounted to an extreme sell-off that deviated significantly from the recent 200-day moving average.
  • It explained that this kind of extreme volatility is a statistically unusual decline, with only four such episodes since 2010.
  • It stressed that this plunge is an area that can also strain automated trading and quantitative (quant) models.

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Bitcoin (BTC) plunged sharply intraday, and an analysis said the sell-off represents statistically unusual volatility.

On the 6th (Korea time), Benson Sun, founder of CoinKarma, wrote on X (formerly Twitter) that “Bitcoin’s drop today amounts to an ‘extreme sell-off’ that deviates significantly from the recent 200-day moving average,” adding that “this is something that is virtually unlikely to occur, with odds on the order of one in 100 million.”

Sun explained that while financial markets tend to see extreme moves more frequently, only four such plunges have occurred since 2010, when records of Bitcoin trading exist.

He added that “a sharp decline like this can also strain automated trading and quantitative (quant) models,” stressing that given Bitcoin only began to meaningfully accumulate trading volume and data after 2015, extreme swings like the recent move are difficult to adequately train on using historical data.

Uk Jin

Uk Jin

wook9629@bloomingbit.ioH3LLO, World! I am Uk Jin.
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