As President Donald Trump's attacks on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell continue, the U.S. stock market is shaking, and the dollar value has fallen to its lowest level in two years. On the morning of the 21st (local time), President Trump called Chairman Powell 'Mr. Too Late' in a post on Truth Social, implying that he is a procrastinator. He also stated that if Powell does not lower interest rates immediately, the economy could slow down. This implies that if an economic slowdown occurs, the responsibility lies with the Federal Reserve. The market did not agree with these remarks. The next monetary policy decision meeting is in May, so there is no immediate way for Powell to lower rates. The uncertainty caused by shaking the Federal Reserve has become more pronounced. The Dow Jones, S&P 50, and Nasdaq indices all recorded declines of 2.3-2.5%. In particular, technology stocks saw significant declines, with Tesla falling 5.8% and Nvidia 4%. The dollar index, which well reflected the market atmosphere, recorded its lowest level in three years since February 2022. It is currently trading at around 98.3, down about 0.45% from the previous day. Instead of the dollar value falling, the values of the euro, yen, and Swiss franc each rose by about 1%. Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc Rise Concerns about inflation are growing significantly. Gold prices are hitting record highs day after day, reaching $3,400 per troy ounce. Long-term bond yields have also risen. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds has risen to around 4.39%. The market sees the tension between the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration becoming increasingly clear. This is not a favorable environment for companies to perform well. Robert Haworth, chief investment strategist at Bank of America, told CNBC that if uncertainty continues in the long term, it will become more challenging for companies to make decisions and achieve results. There are ongoing criticisms that U.S. government policies are deterring investment in dollar-denominated assets. Thierry Wizman, a strategist at Macquarie, pointed out that concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence and the lack of progress in U.S. government tariff negotiations are driving investors away from dollar assets. There is also analysis that the Federal Reserve finds it more difficult to lower interest rates due to pressure from President Trump. The act of lowering interest rates itself is being politically interpreted, so even if concerns about a recession grow based on data, it must be approached with more caution. Can Powell Be Fired? The U.S. Constitution clearly stipulates that the President nominates and the Senate must consent to the appointment of important federal officials like the Federal Reserve Chairman, but there are no regulations on how to dismiss them. Therefore, precedents have served as the standard for dismissals. So far, the Supreme Court's precedent is that dismissal is only possible for justifiable reasons such as committing significant misconduct or being seriously negligent in duty. In particular, the precedent established in 1935, 90 years ago, states that political disagreement or differing opinions on policy with the President is not a valid reason for dismissal. This is known as the Humphrey's Executor v. United States case, where the Supreme Court unanimously ruled that President Roosevelt's dismissal of a Federal Trade Commission member for disagreement was wrong. The ruling stated that dismissal should not be arbitrary for reasons not specified in the Federal Trade Commission regulations. However, this does not mean that federal officials can never be dismissed. In 2020, President Trump dismissed the head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and won the case in the Supreme Court. In this second term, several Democratic appointees have already been dismissed, and related lawsuits are ongoing. However, organizations like the Federal Reserve or the Federal Trade Commission, which are structured as committees or boards, are intended to operate independently from the government, which is different from government-affiliated agencies like the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, according to legal experts. Nevertheless, there is a movement within the current Supreme Court to change existing precedents. Some justices, such as Neil Gorsuch and Clarence Thomas, have officially expressed the opinion that the 1935 precedent is a 'problematic precedent.' Therefore, if President Trump dismisses Chairman Powell for any reason and Powell contests it in court, it could become a historic precedent regarding U.S. federal government officials. Washington Correspondent Lee Sang-eun selee@hankyung.com
April 21General