'The Fed's No. 2' New York Fed President "Ultimately interest rates will come down… monetary policy should be cautious"
A senior official of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) reaffirmed a cautious stance regarding recently released inflation and employment indicators. On the 19th (local time), according to overseas economic breaking news channel Walter Bloomberg, John Williams (John Williams), president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, said, "I do not feel an urgency to change monetary policy." President Williams said of the recently released Consumer Price Index (CPI) that "there may have been some downward distortions (distortions)" and "more data is needed to accurately assess the inflation trend." While acknowledging the possibility that the CPI figure may have been temporarily low, he emphasized that it is difficult to conclude the inflation trend based on a single indicator. He also maintained a cautious view regarding employment indicators. Williams said, "The rise in the unemployment rate may have been affected by some statistical distortions," while adding that "the figure is not at all surprising." These remarks came after the previously released CPI showed a much larger slowdown than the market had expected, quickly spreading expectations of rate cuts. It is interpreted that within the Fed there is a continued stance of keeping in mind the possibility of temporary distortions in price data and the need to confirm additional indicators. Regarding the future path of interest rates, Williams said, "Ultimately, I expect interest rates to come down." However, he drew a line on proactively responding to market judgments, saying, "The Fed should not presume in advance whether the market's judgment is right or wrong." He also made clear remarks about asset purchase policy. Williams explained, "The Fed is not currently implementing quantitative easing (QE) through asset purchases," distancing himself from interpretations that the recent monetary policy stance has shifted to an easing phase. On technology risks, he mentioned artificial intelligence (AI). He assessed, "For now, I do not view AI as a structural risk factor across the financial system." Regarding the economic growth outlook, Williams said, "U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) growth in 2025 is likely to be around 1~1.5%," while adding, "I expect growth to recover again next year."
