<Lee Su-hyun's Coin Radar> is a column that reviews the flow of the cryptocurrency market over the week and provides an in-depth explanation of its background. Beyond a simple listing of prices, it analyzes global economic issues and investor movements in a multidimensional way, offering insights that can gauge the market's direction. Major Coins 1. Bitcoin (BTC) This week Bitcoin has rebounded by about more than 4% compared with the previous week, showing an overall stable trend. As of the 12th, it was trading around $115,000 on CoinMarketCap. There were two main reasons for the rebound. First, the U.S. August producer price index (PPI), released on the 10th, came out at -0.1% month-on-month, and core PPI was 2.8% year-on-year, raising expectations of easing inflationary pressure. This result boosted expectations for rate cuts and investor sentiment reacted immediately. Right after the announcement, about $500 million worth of Bitcoin was traded in Binance's futures market within one minute. In addition, the U.S. August consumer price index (CPI) released on the 11th rose 2.9% year-on-year, in line with market forecasts, which added momentum to the rebound. Whale and institutional accumulation also influenced the price movement. According to Glassnode, whales holding 100–1,000 BTC bought about 65,000 BTC over the past week, and their total holdings reached an all-time high of 3.65 million BTC. In addition, MetaPlanet and Rectitude Holdings announced plans to raise large sums to purchase Bitcoin, and Sweden's H100 also added 21 BTC to its holdings. The market seems to be betting on a year-end rebound rather than immediate large volatility. Many view that September rate cuts have already been largely priced in at the current price. Grix.Live said, "Ahead of a September rate cut, implied volatility in the Bitcoin options market has rather fallen slightly and continues to show a stable trend. The market has already priced in the rate cut, and future price volatility is being priced lower," and added, "There will likely be more positive price movement toward the end of the year than at the end of this month." In a similar vein, Tom Lee, managing partner at Fundstrat, also forecasted, "If rates are cut, Bitcoin could surpass $200,000 by year-end." 2. Ethereum (ETH) Ethereum's rise became notable from the 9th, and on the 12th it rose more than 3% to recover the $4,500 level on CoinMarketCap. The rebound was backed by steady buying from large holders. Bitmain, also known as "Ethereum's strategy," added 200,000 ETH last week and on the 11th added another 46,255 ETH, bringing its total holdings to over 2.12 million ETH. On the same day, Sharplink Gaming also signaled preparations for additional purchases by moving $379 million worth of Tether (USDT) and USDC via OTC. Bitcoin dominance fell from 62% to 55%, increasing expectations for rotation into altcoins, which also had an effect. In fact, the altseason index recorded 66 points on the 11th, marking an intrayear high on CoinMarketCap. It has risen 12 points this month and remains at 65 points as of this writing. The total market cap of altcoins excluding Bitcoin and stablecoins reached $1.63 trillion (about KRW 2,270 trillion). Cointelegraph reported that this is "close to this year's high" and that "the previous high was $1.64 trillion recorded in November last year." Ethereum traded in a $4,200–$4,500 range over the past two weeks. At that time, crypto media such as Cointelegraph and NewsBTC viewed whether the $4,450 support level would be broken as important for further gains. Having broken that support, a short-term upside scenario up to $4,650–$4,800 is now expected. The downside support is seen at $4,280, so maintaining that support will be important in case of a decline. 3. XRP (XRP) XRP rose more than 8% week-on-week and regained the $3 support level. As of the 12th, it was trading at $3.04 on CoinMarketCap. The catalyst for the rebound was Ripple's expansion of its European custody service. Ripple will provide digital asset custody technology to Spain's major bank BBVA to enable secure custody of not only cryptocurrencies but tokenized assets as well. This was interpreted as a signal of institutional trust because European financial institutions adopted Ripple's technology, positively affecting investor sentiment. Another factor behind the rally was growing expectations for a spot XRP ETF approval. CoinDesk reported, "Expectations for the approval of spot XRP ETFs in the U.S. are rising," and said, "The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could approve multiple XRP ETFs simultaneously toward the end of October." Although the SEC has delayed several review decisions recently, Bloomberg still views approval around the end of October as likely. The key going forward is whether XRP can stably hold the $3 level and whether it can break through $3.38. CasiTrades' crypto analyst said, "On-chain indicators currently show XRP is bullish," and added, "If XRP decisively breaks the $3 resistance, upward momentum will strengthen." Christopher Ink, founder of Texas West Capital, forecasted, "If it settles at $3.38 on a daily close basis, a bullish reversal will be confirmed and it could rise up to $4.42." Issue Coins 1. Solana (SOL) Solana rose about 14% over the past week on CoinMarketCap, breaking through $230. As of the 12th, it was trading at $233.15. The main background was increased institutional demand. Forward Industry raised $1.65 billion to announce strategic investments in Solana, and Bit Mining also added about 17,000 SOL to its holdings. In addition, ecosystem expansion expectations grew as ERC-20-based ApeCoin (APE) is pushing to expand to Solana. Bitwise CIO Matt Hogan analyzed, "Several asset managers have applied for a Solana spot ETF, corporate treasuries are accumulating, and conditions are in place for a year-end rally." Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, also said, "The crypto market has entered 'Solana season'," and forecasted further rallies. Technically, $232–$235 is considered a major resistance zone. If broken, it could climb to $250. 2. Worldcoin (WLD) Worldcoin was among the top gainers over the week, surging more than 85% on CoinMarketCap. It briefly surpassed $2, but as of the 12th it pulled back slightly to trade at $1.6. The positive factor appears to be Nasdaq-listed Eightco Holdings' announcement on the 8th that it had raised $250 million to be used for strategic investments. In addition, the listing on Upbit on the 9th sparked the rally. Typically, when a coin is listed on a major exchange, its price surges. Indeed, on Worldcoin's Upbit listing day it opened at 1842 won and closed at 2691 won, jumping 46% in one day. Although the listing effect concentrated short-term liquidity, some say that long-term sustainability requires network stability, a favorable regulatory environment, and expanded real-world use. In particular, the spread of digital identity authentication services is expected to have a major impact on Worldcoin's future value.
September 11PiCK