"Market fear still insufficient…Bitcoin likely to undergo further correction"
Analysis has emerged that it is still difficult to say the crypto market has clearly entered a bottom phase. The rationale presented was that investor sentiment on social media has not been sufficiently subdued. On the 21st (local time), according to Cointelegraph, Maksim Balashevich (Santiment) founder mentioned in a recently released video that Bitcoin's price could undergo further correction. He said of the current market mood, "There is not enough fear to judge that a bottom has been formed." Balashevich explained that it is difficult to rule out the possibility that Bitcoin could fall to around 75,000 dollars. This would correspond to an additional decline of about 14.77% from around 88,350 dollars at the time. He pointed to social media investor sentiment as the basis for this view. He said, "There are still many optimistic remarks that it will rebound immediately after the decline," adding, "This mood does not appear in a true bottom phase." He also added, "Crowd sentiment has not yet been sufficiently subdued." He cited as a warning factor that, particularly on retail investor-focused channels, there are increasing comments interpreting the Bank of Japan's monetary policy positively. Balashevich said, "After the Bank of Japan's change in interest rate policy, bearish commentators misjudged, and now there are many narratives that an upward phase will follow again," adding, "These signals are not positive for judging a bottom." The Bank of Japan recently raised its policy rate to 0.75%, marking the highest level in 30 years. In the past, during BOJ rate-hiking phases, Bitcoin has also experienced about a 20% correction. However, he added that further correction does not necessarily mean only negative circumstances. Balashevich said, "If the price falls to that range, it could actually create a very favorable environment for traders." Other experts' views are mixed. Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity Global Macro Research Director, recently mentioned that Bitcoin could undergo a period of correction in 2026, with a possibility of the price falling to around 65,000 dollars. On the other hand, Matt Hougan, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO), forecasted 2026 to be a Bitcoin-friendly year. Market indicators are sending mixed signals. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has remained in the 'Extreme Fear' zone since December 14, and the recent reading was 20. The Altcoin Season Index also scored 17 out of 100, indicating a Bitcoin-centered defensive market trend.
